Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1232
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1232 · ATL → DTW
departs 8:30 PM ET · arrives 10:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DTW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.