Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1287
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 1287 · LAX → IAH
departs 6:35 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 24%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
29%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from LAX are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LAX that day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,000 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.