DL 1292 · ATL → ILM

departs 4:28 PM ET · arrives 6:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ILM?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ILM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ILM (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1292 · ATL → ILM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ILM?