DL 1312 · MCO → RDU

departs 2:10 PM ET · arrives 4:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

RDU (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1312 · MCO → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?