DL 1328 · SNA → DTW

departs 12:37 PM PT · arrives 8:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SNA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SNA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1328 · SNA → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?