DL 1354 · ATL → MDT

departs 12:23 PM ET · arrives 2:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDT?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ Arrivals into MDT at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

MDT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1354 · ATL → MDT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDT?