DL 1368 · IAH → LGA

departs 2:02 PM CT · arrives 6:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precip0.16 in

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1368 · IAH → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?