Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1419
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 1419 · FLL → JFK
departs 7:59 PM ET · arrives 11:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 9/30 20%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.84 in
JFK (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.