DL 1449 · IAH → LGA

departs 10:57 AM CT · arrives 3:44 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±0 pts +39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
43%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1449 · IAH → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?