DL 1453 · MSY → BOS

departs 2:57 PM CT · arrives 7:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from MSY are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.12 in

BOS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1453 · MSY → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?