DL 1492 · SLC → STL

departs 3:10 PM MT · arrives 7:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at STL that day

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC

↓ STL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility4.66667 mi Precip0.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1492 · SLC → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?