Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1648
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 1648 · DEN → DTW
departs 2:59 PM MT · arrives 7:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±4 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↑
Arrivals into DTW at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.16 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.