Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1652
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1652 · DTW → MSY
departs 2:19 PM ET · arrives 3:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 34%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±6 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MSY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSY?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at DTW that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.16 in
MSY (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.