DL 1696 · LAX → LAS

departs 11:00 AM PT · arrives 12:12 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1696 · LAX → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?