Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1732
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 1732 · JFK → SFO
departs 9:15 PM ET · arrives 12:53 AM PT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 37%
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
9pm departures from JFK are often late
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.