Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1742
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 1742 · ATL → MCO
departs 4:00 PM ET · arrives 5:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↑
4pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.