DL 1791 · DTW → LGA

departs 8:53 AM ET · arrives 10:42 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DTW that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.42 in

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1791 · DTW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?