DL 1826 · MSO → SLC

departs 5:25 AM MT · arrives 7:00 AM MT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ MSO is prone to delays

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from MSO are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 1826 · MSO → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?