Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2003 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

DL 2003 · MCO → DTW

departs 4:05 PM ET · arrives 7:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 4pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DTW that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.13 in

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2003 · MCO → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?