Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2010
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2010 · ATL → OMA
departs 10:28 PM ET · arrives 11:49 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 22%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at OMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
Arrivals into OMA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OMA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.65 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.