Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2018
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2018 · JFK → PBI
departs 7:16 AM ET · arrives 10:20 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 8%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 10%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
PBI is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PBI (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.66 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.