Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2038
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2038 · SLC → EWR
departs 11:38 PM MT · arrives 6:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SLC is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
EWR (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.