Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2043
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2043 · ATL → TUL
departs 10:18 PM ET · arrives 11:19 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TUL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TUL (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.99 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.