DL 2050 · ATL → BUF

departs 4:33 PM ET · arrives 6:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2050 · ATL → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?