Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2088
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2088 · IAH → LGA
departs 2:10 PM CT · arrives 6:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 42%
Mon 10/5 33%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day
↑
2pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 2,500 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.05 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.