Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2176
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2176 · LAX → DEN
departs 2:53 PM PT · arrives 6:18 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.