Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2202
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2202 · LAX → LAS
departs 7:55 PM PT · arrives 9:04 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 27%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LAX that day
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.