Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2243 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Yesterday

DL 2243 · LAX → MCI

departs 6:25 PM PT · arrives 11:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 1,000 ft forecast at LAX that day

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2243 · LAX → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?