Schedule: a typical summer Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2310
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Yesterday
DL 2310 · RSW → LGA
departs 7:30 PM ET · arrives 10:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 10/1
Today 44%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 26%
Wed 10/7 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 44 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↓
RSW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 44 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 0.79 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.