Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2318
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
DL 2318 · SEA → SNA
departs 3:00 PM PT · arrives 5:47 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 9/30 24%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±3 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SNA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
3pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at SNA that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SNA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.