Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2318
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2318 · SNA → SEA
departs 6:45 PM PT · arrives 9:36 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 33%
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 700 ft
Visibility 8 mi
Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 5,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.