Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2333
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2333 · JAX → DTW
departs 11:47 AM ET · arrives 2:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 13%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
10%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
10%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,200 ft forecast at DTW that day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.06 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.