Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2354
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2354 · SEA → GEG
departs 10:45 PM PT · arrives 11:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 29%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at GEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GEG?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
10pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
GEG (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.