DL 23 · MUC → DTW

departs 9:02 AM CEST · arrives 12:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MUC

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DTW that day

↓ Other factors

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MUC (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

DTW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 23 · MUC → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?