DL 2405 · MSY → LGA

departs 10:46 AM CT · arrives 2:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ 10am departures from MSY are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2405 · MSY → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?