Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2424 · DTW → TVC
departs 10:59 PM ET · arrives 12:08 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 22%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
67%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
67%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TVC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +29 pts in 24h
+29 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at TVC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TVC?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at TVC that day
↑
10pm departures from DTW are often late
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.21 in
TVC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.