Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2435
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2435 · ATL → MLB
departs 10:16 PM ET · arrives 11:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MLB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MLB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MLB?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, visibility down to 1.25 mi, 1.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MLB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
MLB usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
MLB (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 1.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.