DL 2459 · LAX → PDX

departs 5:01 PM PT · arrives 7:17 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2459 · LAX → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?