DL 2471 · ATL → MCI

departs 8:30 AM ET · arrives 9:38 AM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 1.8 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.60 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2471 · ATL → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?