DL 2471 · MCI → ATL

departs 10:43 AM CT · arrives 1:47 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 8% of the time recently

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.64 in

ATL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2471 · MCI → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?