Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2472
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2472 · ATL → ROC
departs 9:39 PM ET · arrives 11:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 31%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ROC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROC?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
ROC (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.