Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2514
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2514 · SLC → IAH
departs 5:45 PM MT · arrives 9:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SLC
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
IAH (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.