Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2598
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2598 · SAT → DTW
departs 4:00 PM CT · arrives 8:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SAT that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DTW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip 1.89 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.