DL 2604 · DTW → LGA

departs 5:59 PM ET · arrives 7:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at DTW that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.35 in

LGA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2604 · DTW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?