Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2715 · DTW → BWI
departs 9:45 PM ET · arrives 11:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3 10%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
69%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +41 pts in 24h
+41 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,229 ft Visibility 5.57143 mi Precip 0.19 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.