Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2758 · SGF → ATL
departs 6:53 PM CT · arrives 9:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 26%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±7 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at SGF that day
↑
Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,567 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.59 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.