DL 2761 · DTW → MCI

departs 3:54 PM ET · arrives 4:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +32 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
32%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DTW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.21 in

MCI (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip2.71 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2761 · DTW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?