Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2795
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
DL 2795 · MSO → SLC
departs 5:35 AM MT · arrives 7:06 AM MT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 7%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 6%
Sat 10/3 7%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 5%
Tue 10/6 5%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
6%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
6%
Leave 15+ late
3%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Leave MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
MSO is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↑
DL's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from MSO are usually not late
Weather at each end
MSO (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.