Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2850
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2850 · ATL → CHS
departs 11:10 PM ET · arrives 12:26 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at CHS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +18 pts in 24h
+18 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CHS?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
11pm departures from ATL are often late
↑
ATL is busy at that time
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
CHS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.