Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2911
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Today
DL 2911 · ATL → MCI
departs 10:48 PM ET · arrives 11:58 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.6 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
10pm departures from ATL are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at ATL that day
↓
ATL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 2.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.